D 2015

Corporate Default Probability Modelling Through Vector Autoregression Approach

JEŘÁBEK, Tomáš

Basic information

Original name

Corporate Default Probability Modelling Through Vector Autoregression Approach

Name in Czech

Modelování korporátní pravděpodobnosti defaultu prostřednictvím vektorové autoregrese

Edition

5. vyd. Hradec Králové, Mezinárodní vědecká konference doktorandů a odborných asistentů QUAERE 2015, p. 492-501, 1582 pp. 2015

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Stať ve sborníku

Field of Study

50200 5.2 Economics and Business

Country of publisher

Czech Republic

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Publication form

storage medium (CD, DVD, flash disk)

Organization unit

University of Finance and Administration

ISBN

978-80-87952-10-8

Keywords in English

Default, macroeconomic model, cointegration, credit risk

Tags

Reviewed
Změněno: 10/9/2015 14:03, Mgr. Tomáš Jeřábek, Ph.D., MBA

Abstract

V originále

Recent global financial crisis motivates financial market regulators to rethink the credit policy management. In fact, it was just a huge credit boom which has started the last financial crisis. Paper investigates the long-run and short-run causal relationship between the corporate default probability and macroeconomic factors in the Czech Republic through the default rate and macroeconomic indicators. This approach requires the construction of a macroeconomic credit model, providing a framework for assessing causal relationships between variables used in order to capture the relationship between the default probability of the corporate sector and macroeconomic variables.